The Rise and Fall of Bellwether Locales in U.S. Presidential Elections

• In Event: Presidential Campaigns

Brief Overview

Recent years have seen a precipitous decline in electoral bellwether locations. This paper takes a look back to gauge how long bellwether counties last, on average, once they do emerge.

Authors

• Jim Gimpel, University of Maryland-College Park

• Andrew Reeves, Washington University in St Louis

• Sean Trende, Ohio University-Main Campus