Testing the Power-Law Hypothesis of Inter-Conflict Intervals

• In Event: Lightning Talk: Methodology

Brief Overview

The size of war is known to follow a power law. Using a stringent statistical test, we confirm that temporal aspects of war also follow a power law. Moreover, the utility of these findings in prediction of armed conflict is discussed.

Authors

• Hiroshi Okamoto, The University of Tokyo

• Budrul Ahsan, Philips Japan

• Sota Kato, Tokyo Foundation for Policy Research

• Iku Yoshimoto, The University of Tokyo