Rational Voting in the Age of Ideological and Affective Polarization: A Panel Analysis of Vote Choice in the United States, 1972–2020

• In Event: How Voters Decide

Brief Overview

We use Bayesian Aldrich-McKelvey scaling to place both respondents and Presidential candidates from 1972-2020 on the same ideological scale. We assess the interactions of ideological proximity, partisanship, and party polarization on vote choice.

Authors

• Samuel Fuller, University of California-Davis

• Carlos Andres Algara, Claremont Graduate University