A Simple Model of Second-Round Elections

• In Event: Elections in Latin America

Brief Overview

We intend to advance our knowledge of the two-round voting system by presenting a simple model that predicts the winner based on two sources of data: the first-round vote share of the top two candidates and the ideological position of candidates.

Authors

• George Avelino F, Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)

• Guilherme Russo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)

• Jairo Tadeu Pires Pimentel Junior, Fundacao Getulio Vargas