Citizen Forecasting in Unstable Contexts: Evidence From the Honduran Case

• In Event: Ballot Design, Election Administration, and Prediction

Brief Overview

Previous studies find that various individual-level cognitive and affective characteristics impact their predictions of who will win an upcoming election. It focuses on Honduras, a country previously unstudied by citizen forecasting researchers.

Authors

• Brian Thompson, Universite Laval

• Philippe Mongrain, McGill University

• Yannick Dufresne, Universite Laval