Term Limits and Succession Expectations: A Natural Experiment in Russia

• In Event: Post-Soviet Regime Dynamics

Brief Overview

This paper exploits a natural experiment—Vladimir Putin’s 2020 announcement of a reset of his term-limit clock—to examine how an unexpected loosening of term-limit rules alters the expectations of Russian elites about authoritarian longevity.

Authors

• Henry E. Hale, George Washington University

• Sharon Werning Rivera, Hamilton College