The Abnormal Vote: A Noisy Relationship between Presidential Preference and Partisan Loyalty

• In Event: Voters' Electoral Behavior

Brief Overview

A large number of studies in American use presidential vote share as an indicator of the “normal vote,” or the distribution of party loyalty across geographies. We show this relationship is noisy and imperfect and propose an alternative measure.

Authors

• Derek Edward Holliday, Stanford University

• Aaron Rudkin, Massachusetts Institute of Technology