Sequences of Conflict Management Attempts and Outcomes of Civil Wars

• In Event: Armed Conflict

Brief Overview

We theorize that CMA sequences signal international confidence in peaceful resolutions. Analyzing civil wars from 1992-2013, we find that bilateral talks following third-party mediation increase peace agreement likelihood.

Authors

• Jingtian Hu, Tsinghua University

• Huiyi Lyu, Tsinghua University

• Chong Chen, Tsinghua University