Citizen Election Sweepstakes: The Impact of Betting Inducements on Citizen Forecasts in the 2024 US Presidential Election

• In Event: Predictions, Forecasts and Uncertainty

Brief Overview

This paper focuses on election forecasting and whether fantasy citizen inducements influences wisdom of the crowd predictions of the 2024 US Presidential election.

Authors

• Stephen Patrick Quinlan, GESIS Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences

• Michael S. Lewis-Beck, University of Iowa