Do Wartime Casualties Affect Support for the Autocrat? Evidence from Russia

• In Event: Politics and Political Economy of Eurasia VI. Authoritarian Resilience: Challenges and Strategies

Brief Overview

This paper examines how wartime casualties influence voter support for incumbents in autocracies, focusing on Russia's 2024 election. It combines casualty data and a survey experiment to assess how exposure to losses affects electoral behavior.

Authors

• Nikita Savin, University of California-Los Angeles

• Georgy Tarasenko, Cornell University

• Konstantin Bogatyrev, Bocconi University