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Modeling Spillovers in Synthetic Control: Addressing SUTVA Violations Through Spatial-Temporal Interdependence in Rare Political Events

Sat, April 5, 11:40am to 1:10pm CDT (11:40am to 1:10pm CDT), Palmer House Hilton, Floor: 7th, Sandburg 4

Brief Overview

This paper develops a synthetic control approach incorporating spatial-temporal interdependence to address spillover effects, improving causal inference in rare political events, such as failed coups, where SUTVA is potentially violated.

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