- Browse/Search the Program
Search
Browse By Day
Browse By Time
Browse By Person
Browse By Division
Browse By Session or Event Type
- Information Menu
Search Tips
How to Build a Personal Program
Virtual Exhibit Hall
- Navigation and Settings Menu
Personal Schedule
Change Preferences / Time Zone
Predictions, Forecasts and Uncertainty
Sat, April 5, 3:20 to 4:50pm CDT (3:20 to 4:50pm CDT), Palmer House Hilton, Floor: 3rd, KimballSession Submission Type: Paper Session
Section
Individual Presentations
3:20pm |
Forecasting Referendums: A Structural Model Predicting Adoption and Support Levels in Irish Plebiscites 1968-2024 - Stephen Patrick Quinlan, GESIS Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences; Michael S. Lewis-Beck, University of Iowa; Matthew Qvortrup
3:30pm |
Party Sentiment and Consumer Confidence in the United Kingdom - Rylie Yin Wieseler, University of Missouri
3:40pm |
The Evolution of Polling Error: Analyzing Two Decades of U.S. Presidential Election Polls (2004-2024) - Ehsan Habibpour Moghaddam, American University; Ali Amini, American University
3:50pm |
Voter Reasoning Under Uncertainty: Retrospective and Prospective Risk Evaluations in Electoral Decision-Making - Matthew Edward Dardet, Harvard University
4:00pm |
Citizen Election Sweepstakes: The Impact of Betting Inducements on Citizen Forecasts in the 2024 US Presidential Election - Stephen Patrick Quinlan, GESIS Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences; Michael S. Lewis-Beck, University of Iowa
Discussants
4:10pm |
Peter William Brusoe, SUNY College of Technology at Delhi
4:10pm |
Alexander George Theodoridis, University of Massachusetts
Audience Participation
4:20pm |
Audience participation will last for the remainder of the session.