The South China Sea Arbitration and Philippine Exports to China: Evidence from DiD and Synthetic Control

• In Event: Lightning Talk: International Trade

Brief Overview

The paper examines how the 2016 South China Sea arbitration ruling influenced Philippine exports to China, using Difference-in-Differences and Synthetic Control methods to assess trade disruptions, informal sanctions, and sectoral vulnerabilities.

Author

• Weikang Liu, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh Campus