More Trade, More Disputes? Measuring Alliance Effects on WTO Conflict with Large Language Models

• In Event: Crisis or Cooperation at the WTO

Brief Overview

Why do allies generate as many WTO disputes as adversaries yet less severe? Analyzing 620+ cases with LLMs overcoming hand-coding limits, we find interdependence drives frequency while institutional trust moderates intensity.

Authors

• Peng-Ting Kuo, University of Texas at Austin

• Hsuan-Wei Lee, Lehigh University