Natural Disasters, Asymmetric Exposure, and War: Why Empirical Evidence on Climate Conflict Is Mixed

• In Event: Uncertainty, Commitment and the Logic of Conflict

Brief Overview

This paper focuses on the causal effect of climate disasters on conflict risks and examines why empirical evidence on the issue seems mixed. I develop a formal model to show that disaster events can have opposite signs of treatment effects.

Author

• Hiroto Sawada, Princeton University