Crisis and Legitimacy: Measuring the Rally Effect After Bloody January in Authoritarian Kazakhstan

• In Event: Global Perceptions, Geopolitics, and Information Warfare

Brief Overview

This study examines Tokayev's unexpected approval surge after Bloody January 2022 in Kazakhstan. Using causal inference methods, we find domestic crises can trigger rally effects in authoritarian regimes through strategic narrative control.

Authors

• Danil Markus, KIMEP University

• Amanzhol АМАНЖОЛ Bekmagambetov, KIMEP University