Rational Learning as a Cause of War

• In Event: Information, Resolve, and the Dynamics of War

Brief Overview

We extend the crisis bargaining model to allow the receiver to privately learn their own strength, and show that this leads to complex and nuanced predictions about the causes of bargaining breakdown and war.

Authors

• Michael Gibilisco, Caltech

• Alexander V. Hirsch, Caltech

• Sota Minowa, Caltech