Alliances and War: Using Temporal Heterogeneous Graph Neural Network to Predict Interstate Conflict

• In Event: Lightning Talk: Alliance Behaviors and Militarization

Brief Overview

This study models how interstate alliances network shape war onset using a temporal heterogeneous graph neural network trained on COW data from 1816 till now to predict conflicts and reveal alliance-driven war diffusion dynamics.

Author

• Ziyu Shu, Georgetown University