Managing Earnings to Appear Truthful: The Effect of Public Scrutiny on Exactly Meeting a Threshold

• In Event: Verbal and Earnings Manipulations

Abstract

The past two decades have not eliminated managers’ willingness to manage earnings to meet and beat earnings thresholds, but have increased investors’ skepticism of earnings that exactly meet those thresholds. Using a low-external-context experiment, we find that managers avoid exactly meeting a benchmark, even when they alter true earnings to do so. Thus, we examine a new incentive to manage earnings: misreporting to appear truthful. Specifically, we examine the effect of intensified scrutiny of managers and managers’ individual sensitivity and concern about investors’ perceptions of them. We find that when earnings exactly meet a benchmark, managers are more likely to misreport earnings when they report under high public scrutiny. This is particularly the case for managers who are low on the Dark Triad scale (and thus more sensitive to others’ perceptions). Further, we show that this misreporting increases managers’ belief that the market will accept their reports, consistent with managers misreporting for self-presentational goals. These results help explain otherwise undetectable behavior around earnings benchmarks and are important as managers are increasingly scrutinized by critical media, activists, and political oversight bodies, and as they face skepticism via more intimate forms of disclosure and communication, such as social media.

Authors

• Jessen L. Hobson, University of Illinois-Urbana-Champaign

• Sebastian Stirnkorb, Erasmus University