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The Confounding Effect of Cost Stickiness in Conservatism Research

Sat, January 11, 2:00 to 3:30pm, TBA

Abstract

Sales decreases affect earnings more than sales increases because of cost stickiness. We hypothesize that this correlated omitted variable constitutes a confounding effect in standard conservatism models. Adding sales change direction to the Basu (1997) and Ball et al. (2013b) models decreases measured conservatism significantly and has a large impact on the relative ranking of firm-level conservatism estimates and on inferences about drivers of conservatism. Future empirical research on conditional conservatism should control for the potential confounding effect of sticky costs.

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