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Non-Articulation between Financial Statements, Cash Flow Management, and Credit Risk

Sat, January 17, 4:00 to 5:30pm, TBA

Abstract

Prior studies document the prevalence of non-articulation between (1) changes in noncash current assets and in current liabilities from comparative balance sheets and (2) their corresponding changes on the indirect-method statement of cash flows. Labeling the difference between these two changes as non-articulation amounts, we find that (1) non-articulation amounts are positively associated with abnormal operating cash flows (OCF), a proxy for cash flow management, (2) larger absolute non-articulation amounts are associated with lower persistence of and higher volatility in OCF, (3) larger absolute non-articulation amounts are associated with greater default risk, higher yield spreads, higher likelihood of loan collateral, and shorter loan maturity. Taken together, our findings suggest that non-articulation amounts capture cash flow management and, consequently, absolute non-articulation amounts contain important information about the risk and uncertainty of a firm's business operations.

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