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Do Property-Liability Insurers Cater Their Loss Reserve to Investor Sentiment?

Sat, May 21, 8:15 to 9:45am, Waterfront Place Hotel, TBA

Abstract

Investor sentiment, reflecting investors’ biased expectation about future firm performance, is an important part in the literature of behavioral finance. In this paper, we investigate how property-liability insurers adjust their loss reserve estimate, based on investor sentiment. Two distinctive features of the property-liability insurers motivate our study. First, loss reserves are collectively the largest liability on a property-liability insurance company’s balance sheet. They could significantly affect the reported earnings and financial strength of an insurance company. Second, loss reserves are required to be disclosed regularly in Schedule P of the NAIC’s Annual Statement, which help measure managers’ discretion over time.

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