DIVISION 21: Conflict Processes

A Dynamic Measure of Territorial Salience Using Machine Learning - Douglas Bryan Atkinson, Cardiff University; Joshua L Jackson, University of Georgia; George Williford, University of Georgia

Aiding or Abetting? Counterterrorism Aid, Terrorism, and Intrastate Rivals - Christopher William Blair, University of Pennsylvania

A New Geography of Civil War: Machine Learning Approach to Defining War Zones - Kyosuke Kikuta, University of Texas at Austin

Anticipating Dissent: The Repression of Politicians in Pinochet’s Chile - Jane Esberg, Stanford University

Forecasting Civil Conflict: A Latent State Space Model Using Event Data - Altaf Ali, University College London

Framing Terror and Hate: Classifying Political Violence in the United States - Kiela Crabtree, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor; Corina Simonelli, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor

Gaining Credibility: Alliances and U.S. Overseas Deployments - Koji Kagotani, Osaka University of Economics; Erik Gartzke, UCSD

Keeping it Secret: Selection into Secret Allilances and Internal Signaling - Matthew Millard, University of California, San Diego

Natural Disasters, Conflict and Local Governmental Institutions - Kristina Petrova, Uppsala University

Peacekeeping Personnel Shortfalls and Civilian Protection in Civil Wars - Timothy Passmore, University of Colorado Boulder; Megan Shannon, University of Colorado