New Developments in Forecasting: Perspectives from Practitioners

Session Submission Type: Roundtable

Session Description

What does the science of forecasting tells us about how to make the most accurate forecasts of political events? Topics such as the role of "big data," choice of unit of analysis, over-fitting, accurate assessment of uncertainty, and machine learning will be examined. Both practitioners and Political Scientists will speak. Lessons from recent elections will also be discussed.

Sub Unit

• Related Groups / Political Forecasting Group

Chair

• Carl E. Klarner Klarnerpolitics

Presenters

• Alfred G. Cuzan The University of West Florida

• Randall J. Jones University of Central Oklahoma

• Will Jennings University of Southampton

• Natalie M. Jackson Public Religion Research Institute

• Dan Rosenheck The Economist