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Tracking Guatemalan Deportees and Their Intentions to Remigrate to the U.S. (Moved to Saturday, 8:00am, Burham 5)

Thu, Nov 18, 5:00 to 6:20pm, Logan Room, 3rd Floor

Abstract

(a) The initial decision to emigrate has been analyzed from interdisciplinary perspectives and some of the most accepted analytical frameworks evaluate push and pull factors of immigration and subsequent chain migration, transnationalism which establishes and maintain multi-strands social relations between the country of origin and the country of destination, and “convergence” and “gap” hypotheses, which respectively predict the converging and diverging nature of the migration policies trends (Rosenblum & Tichenor, 2012). However, methodologically rigorous research on deportees and their intentions to remigrate following formal removal is understudied.

(b) This research is based on data collected as part of the Guatemala Repatriation Longitudinal Survey. The study includes initial surveys from 1,359 Guatemalan deportees, selected at random, upon their arrival in Guatemala City. Subsequently, the research team conducted follow-up telephone interviews with 309 consenting participants at varying intervals.

(c) Embedded conjoint and list experiments allow for a more nuanced understanding of deportee reintegration and factors affecting intentions to remigrate.

(d) Deportees are impacted by complex decisions including security concerns, job prospects, and their social networks during the initial months of repatriation and this study explores the factors driving the increasing intent for deportees to remigrate over time.

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