50. Methodology

Christopher Hare, University of California-Davis

Forecasting rare events: Predicting terrorist attacks at a subnational level - Jared Falkenberg Edgerton, Ohio State University; Grant Thomas Buckles, Gallup

How to Cautiously Uncover the 'Black Box' of Tree-Based Machine Learning Models - Soren Jordan, Auburn University; Andrew Quayle Philips, University of Colorado Boulder

Predicting Rare Events through Deep Learning-based Anomaly Detection - Budrul Ahsan, Philips Japan; Sota Kato, International University of Japan; Hirokazu Shimauchi, Tokyo Foundation for Policy Research

Pursuing Open Source Development of Predictive Algorithms: The Case of Criminal Sentencing Algorithms - Philip Waggoner, University of Chicago; Alec Macmillen, University of Chicago

Yuki Shiraito, University of Michigan