Real-time Vote Counting and Trust in Modern Elections

• In Event: Causal Inference

Brief Overview

We investigate whether winning candidates passing runners-up during the vote counting affects trust in the election process. For that, we employ Twitter data classified with DNN and a Fuzzy RDD to exploit the moment of overtaking as a discontinuity

Authors

• Fabricio Vasselai, University of Michigan-Ann Arbor

• Walter R Mebane, University of Michigan

• Patrick Y. Wu, New York University