The Foundations of a Social Explosion: Strategic Updating in Chile's Protests, 2006-2019

• In Event: Qualitative Bayesian Inference in Practice: Case Studies in Comparative Politics and International Relations

Brief Overview

Chile’s 2019 protests represent a case of social explosion in democracy. Bayesian reasoning with original evidence from fieldwork suggests that political unresponsiveness and strategic updating best explain this multi-sector, anti-system protest.

Author

• Peter Cummings, Massachusetts Institute of Technology