Citizen Forecasting: Wisdom of the Crowd Versus Wisdom of the Few

• In Event: Perceptions of Government

Brief Overview

In this paper, we determine whether a known, non-representative sample can produce accurate citizen forecasts. We benchmarked these citizen forecasts against forecasts made by a representative sample.

Authors

• Yannick Dufresne, Universite Laval

• Brian Thompson, Universite Laval

• Philippe Mongrain, McGill University

• Judith Bourque, Universite Laval

• William Poirier, New York University