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Social Proximity and ‘Friends-and-Neighbors’ Voting in Local Elections

Sat, January 19, 3:30 to 4:50pm, JW Marriott Austin, 209

Abstract

At least since Key (1949), scholars have been interested in understanding why voters tend to prefer candidates from geographically-proximate areas. Previous research on geographic voting patterns has primarily concentrated on statewide elections, with aggregate, rather than individual-level voting data. As a consequence, we know little about why voters prefer geographically-proximate candidates, and we do not know whether this pattern occurs in local elections. This inattention to local elections is problematic because local elections vastly outnumber elections for higher office and a large proportion of policy and resources are implemented and allocated by locally-elected officials (see Trounstine 2009).

To address these issues, we have conducted archival research to identify the residential locations of all voters and every candidate running for seven elected offices in Newport, Kentucky. Our records reveal exactly which residents voted *and* which candidates they voted for. This unique dataset is possible only because the elections, which occurred in 1874, were conducted under viva voce law, requiring all votes to be cast by voice and recorded in poll books. Further, we have sought all available public records about the city, combing through census rolls, tax lists, plat maps, city directories, church membership lists, and other sources. With these records, we have assembled a detailed profile about each of the city's residents, including their age, wealth, occupation, kin, church affiliation, and ethnic identity.

These data allow us to examine how residents' geographic locations interweave with their social networks, their interests, their personal attributes, and ultimately their voting behavior.

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