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Vocabulary knowledge and speed of word processing develop rapidly in the first two years of life (Fenson et al., 1994; Fernald, Perfors, & Marchman, 2006) and are the building blocks for preschool and school-age language and cognitive skills (e.g., Duff, Reen, Plunkett, & Nation, 2015; Marchman & Fernald, 2008). However, the variance accounted for by vocabulary size is generally modest, potentially owing to the use of measures that collapse across a continuum of word knowledge from weak to strong. Recently, we found that a direct assessment of vocabulary size, hypothesized to tap more stable, decontextualized knowledge at age two, predicted third-year general language skills and showed utility in distinguishing children with low- relative to average-to-high language ability.
The current research extends this finding by exploring prediction from both vocabulary size and word processing efficiency. Children were first tested at 23 months of age (N=68, Mage=22;29) and completed the Computerized Comprehension Task (CCT; Friend & Keplinger, 2003; 2008). From this task we estimated decontextualized vocabulary size (i.e., number of correct touches) and obtained two measures of word processing efficiency: visual RT (i.e., latency to execute a gaze shift from the distractor to the target image), and haptic RT (i.e., latency to touch the target). A subsample (N=42) returned for visits at ages three (Mage=37;21) and four (Mage=49;15) and they completed the Peabody Picture Vocabulary Test (Dunn & Dunn, 1997), a measure of receptive vocabulary size.
Zero-order correlations revealed that, at 23 months, vocabulary size was significantly correlated concurrently with visual RT (r(63)=-.42, p<.001) and haptic RT (r(67)=-.24, p=.048): children with larger vocabulary sizes processed words more efficiently. Early vocabulary and visual, but not haptic RT, were prospectively correlated with vocabulary at ages three (r(44)=.49, p=.001 and r(44)=-.37, p=.01, respectively) and four (r(44)=.39, p=.008 and r(44)=-.37, p=.01, respectively). We next performed two linear regressions predicting vocabulary at age three and four, respectively, with child sex and maternal education as control variables in Step 1 and 23-month vocabulary, visual RT, and haptic RT in Step 2.
Regression 1 (Year 3): Step 1 was not significant but Step 2 was (R2Δ=.42, F Δ=9.47, p<.001). Vocabulary size, visual RT, and haptic RT were all significant predictors in the final model (β=.40, p=.01; β=-.35, p=.02; β=.37, p=.01, respectively). In contrast to predictions, once the variance from early vocabulary was accounted for, children slower to touch the target image at 23 months had larger vocabularies at age three: this may suggest a benefit of more deliberate processing in a computationally-expensive response modality.
Regression 2 (Year 4): Step 1 was not significant but Step 2 was (R2Δ=.26, F Δ=4.68, p=.007). Vocabulary size was the only significant predictor of age four vocabulary (β=.35, p=.047).
Together this evidence indicates that vocabulary size and the efficiency with which word meanings are processed significantly predict downstream vocabulary outcomes. However, it also suggests that vocabulary size may be a more robust, unique predictor of outcomes further downstream with implications for early identification of children at risk for language delay.